1
Botervia Du Kalon
5yo Filly · 11-7
Auteuil · Prix Calabrais Handicap Hurdle · 2m 1f 196y
#5
Rank
Odds
15/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength8%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C1.2
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-26 | Auteuil | 1 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-02 | Auteuil | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-03-11 | Compiegne | 1 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-02-21 | Fontainebleau | 3 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-11-29 | Auteuil | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-11-05 | Auteuil | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1693% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength100%
Delivery trend +0.4% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 16.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/04/2025 | 5th | 11/1 | 42% | 33% | -0.09 |
| 18/05/2025 | 6th | 50/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 13/09/2025 | 5th | 28/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |
| 05/11/2025 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 29/11/2025 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 86% | +0.59 |
| 21/02/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 91% | +0.04 |
| 11/03/2026 | 7th | 8/1 | 58% | 50% | -0.08 |
| 02/04/2026 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |
| 26/05/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 88% | +0.40 |