14
Joie Interieure
5yo Filly · 10-2
Auteuil · Prix Calabrais Handicap Hurdle · 2m 1f 196y
#16
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#16
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength9%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C1.4
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Compiegne | 2 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2024-11-11 | Compiegne | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2024-10-03 | Compiegne | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2024-09-11 | Compiegne | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2024-08-19 | Clairefontaine | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2024-06-29 | Dieppe | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1640% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength91%
Delivery trend +1.9% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 16.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/05/2024 | 10th | 20/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 06/06/2024 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 50% | +0.24 |
| 29/06/2024 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 63% | -0.06 |
| 19/08/2024 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 11/09/2024 | 4th | 18/1 | 5% | 50% | +0.45 |
| 03/10/2024 | 1st | 15/2 | 61% | 100% | +0.39 |
| 11/11/2024 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 83% | +0.15 |
| 09/09/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |