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15

Joyeuse Blue

4yo Filly · 9-13

Auteuil · Prix Calabrais Handicap Hurdle · 2m 1f 196y

#4

Rank

Odds

33/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

5%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 3.0)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C3.1
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Fontainebleau 29/03/2026 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR - · 2m1f142y Sft 14529/03C?4 @ Fontainebleau 15/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 14 · OR - · 2m1f142y Ver 14315/0443 @ Dieppe 10/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR - · 2m198y Sft 14710/073C5 @ Le Lion D'angers 20/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR - · 1m6f200y Sft 12420/08C5projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 15
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-12Auteuil10
2026-08-20Le Lion D'angers?2nd2nd0
2026-07-10Dieppe32nd2nd0
2026-04-15Fontainebleau41st1st0
2026-03-29Fontainebleau?7th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today29/0315/0410/0720/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1660% of fieldRange 10-16 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength14%

Delivery trend +3.2% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 16. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
29/03/20267th17/255%45%-0.10
15/04/20261st7/282%100%+0.18
10/07/20262nd11/271%86%+0.15
20/08/20262nd5/287%89%+0.02