13
Lady Ange Win
5yo Filly · 10-2
Auteuil · Prix Calabrais Handicap Hurdle · 2m 1f 196y
#12
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength17%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 2.7 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-26 | Clairefontaine | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-21 | Compiegne | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-01 | La Teste De Buch | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-03-15 | Lyon-Parilly | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-02 | Compiegne | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-02-21 | Fontainebleau | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 1613% of fieldRange 8-16 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength10%
Delivery trend -2.5% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 14th of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/12/2025 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 67% | -0.02 |
| 20/01/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 70% | +0.54 |
| 28/01/2026 | 6th | 22/1 | 0% | 62% | +0.62 |
| 21/02/2026 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |
| 02/03/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 89% | +0.10 |
| 15/03/2026 | 5th | 15/8 | 90% | 56% | -0.35 |
| 01/04/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 21/04/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 88% | +0.61 |
| 26/08/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 57% | -0.01 |