7
Lili Ball
5yo Filly · 10-8
Auteuil · Prix Calabrais Handicap Hurdle · 2m 1f 196y
#11
Rank
Odds
22/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength1%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C1.2
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-06 | Compiegne | 2 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-03-11 | Compiegne | 1 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-11-16 | Auteuil | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-10-23 | Auteuil | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-09-18 | Auteuil | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-03-23 | Auteuil | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish15th of 167% of fieldRange 12-16 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -6.1% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 15th of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/06/2024 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 71% | +0.08 |
| 14/10/2024 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 23/11/2024 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 75% | +0.01 |
| 23/03/2025 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 87% | +0.04 |
| 18/09/2025 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 91% | +0.03 |
| 23/10/2025 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 75% | +0.12 |
| 16/11/2025 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 11/03/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 92% | +0.44 |
| 06/04/2026 | 7th | 6/4 | 92% | 0% | -0.92 |