10
Louba
5yo Filly · 10-6
Auteuil · Prix Calabrais Handicap Hurdle · 2m 1f 196y
#2
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
7%
Place Prob
17%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength6%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Class-adjusted form 2.5 /10 (raw 3.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C2.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-26 | Auteuil | 2 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-21 | Compiegne | 2 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-02 | Auteuil | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-11 | Compiegne | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-11-23 | Auteuil | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-10-29 | Auteuil | ? | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 16100% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength68%
Delivery trend -3.8% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/04/2025 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 58% | +0.11 |
| 07/05/2025 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 73% | +0.20 |
| 26/05/2025 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 93% | +0.11 |
| 13/09/2025 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 93% | +0.14 |
| 07/10/2025 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 11/03/2026 | 2nd | 11/1 | 42% | 93% | +0.51 |
| 02/04/2026 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 91% | +0.25 |
| 21/04/2026 | 3rd | 13/8 | 91% | 78% | -0.14 |
| 26/05/2026 | 3rd | 1/2 | 97% | 60% | -0.37 |