5
Mamaland
4yo Filly · 10-11
Auteuil · Prix Calabrais Handicap Hurdle · 2m 1f 196y
#3
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
9%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength4%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 2.6 /10 (raw 3.0)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C1.4
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-17 | Auteuil | 1 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-13 | Auteuil | 2 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-03-22 | Auteuil | 3 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-02-14 | Auteuil | 1 | 0 | ||
| 2025-12-07 | Auteuil | 1 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-11-23 | Auteuil | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1673% of fieldRange 10-16 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength17%
Delivery trend -4.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/08/2025 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 64% | +0.16 |
| 23/11/2025 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 07/12/2025 | 3rd | 15/8 | 90% | 67% | -0.23 |
| 22/03/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 67% | -0.12 |
| 13/04/2026 | 1st | 4/5 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 17/05/2026 | 5th | 13/2 | 66% | 50% | -0.16 |