2
Miss Altea Blue
5yo Filly · 11-1
Auteuil · Prix Calabrais Handicap Hurdle · 2m 1f 196y
#10
Rank
Odds
17/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 3.8)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C5.1
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-26 | Auteuil | 1 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-02 | Auteuil | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-02 | Auteuil | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-03-22 | Auteuil | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-02-23 | Auteuil | BHA118 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-12-29 | Newbury | 3 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1633% of fieldRange 3-16 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▼
Strength36%
Delivery trend -3.9% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 11th of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/04/2025 | 6th | 22/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 08/11/2025 | 2nd | 15/8 | 90% | 80% | -0.10 |
| 27/11/2025 | 1st | 1/2 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |
| 29/12/2025 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 57% | -0.14 |
| 23/02/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 29% | +0.02 |
| 22/03/2026 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 92% | +0.76 |
| 02/04/2026 | 8th | 10/3 | 82% | 36% | -0.46 |
| 02/05/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 26/05/2026 | 6th | 7/2 | 82% | 38% | -0.44 |