8

Belize
5yo Filly · 10-3
Auteuil · Prix De L'orleanais Hurdle · 2m 1f 196y
#5
Rank
Odds
13/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength5%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 3.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C2.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-26 | Clairefontaine | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-27 | Clairefontaine | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-06 | Lyon-Parilly | 1 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-30 | Dieppe | 3 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-10-02 | Compiegne | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-08-27 | Clairefontaine | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 857% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength73%
Delivery trend -1.7% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/12/2024 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 67% | +0.40 |
| 19/01/2025 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 11/08/2025 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 86% | +0.38 |
| 27/08/2025 | 1st | 11/8 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 02/10/2025 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 30/04/2026 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 70% | -0.14 |
| 06/06/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 44% | +0.08 |
| 27/07/2026 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 64% | +0.12 |
| 26/08/2026 | 1st | 7/1 | 63% | 100% | +0.37 |