8

Belize

5yo Filly · 10-3

Auteuil · Prix De L'orleanais Hurdle · 2m 1f 196y

#5

Rank

Odds

13/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength5%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 3.6)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C2.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Pau 29/12/2024 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR - · 2m198y Std 14529/12C?C0 @ Pau 19/01/2025 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR - · 2m2f86y Hvy 145C0 @ Clairefontaine 11/08/2025 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR - · 2m2f86y GS 14811/08C?C0 @ Clairefontaine 27/08/2025 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR - · 2m3f85y Ver 150C0 @ Compiegne 02/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR - · 2m1f32y Hvy 1562/10C?3 @ Dieppe 30/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR - · 2m2f195y Sft 1451 @ Lyon-Parilly 06/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR - · 2m4f83y Hvy 1476/061C0 @ Clairefontaine 27/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 15 · OR - · 2m3f85y Ver 150C4 @ Clairefontaine 26/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 13 · OR - · 2m6f81y Sft 15326/08C4projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 8
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-26Clairefontaine?1st1st0
2026-07-27Clairefontaine?6th6th0
2026-06-06Lyon-Parilly16th6th0
2026-04-30Dieppe34th4th0
2025-10-02Compiegne?1st1st0
2025-08-27Clairefontaine?1st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today29/1227/086/0626/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 857% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength73%

Delivery trend -1.7% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 8.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
29/12/20243rd14/126%67%+0.40
19/01/20251st5/287%100%+0.13
11/08/20252nd10/147%86%+0.38
27/08/20251st11/893%100%+0.07
02/10/20251st5/174%100%+0.26
30/04/20264th3/184%70%-0.14
06/06/20266th12/137%44%+0.08
27/07/20266th9/153%64%+0.12
26/08/20261st7/163%100%+0.37