7
Esastar
5yo Filly · 10-7
Auteuil · Prix De L'orleanais Hurdle · 2m 1f 196y
#6
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 3.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-07 | Pau | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-12-16 | Pau | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-11-23 | Auteuil | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-10-29 | Auteuil | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-10-13 | Fontainebleau | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-09-05 | Clairefontaine | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 814% of fieldRange 3-8 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength24%
Delivery trend -1.1% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/02/2025 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 92% | +0.10 |
| 05/09/2025 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 13/10/2025 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 64% | -0.18 |
| 29/10/2025 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 23/11/2025 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 67% | +0.19 |
| 16/12/2025 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 60% | -0.19 |
| 07/01/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |