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5

Kingland

6yo Gelding · 10-10

Auteuil · Prix De L'orleanais Hurdle · 2m 1f 196y

#1

Rank

Odds

6/4

Win Prob

100%

Place Prob

94%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength6%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 1.2 /10 (raw 1.8)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC1 @ Auteuil 12/09/2023 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR - · 2m1f196y Ver 14712/09C1C0 @ Auteuil 14/10/2023 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR - · 2m1f196y 147C0 @ Auteuil 12/11/2023 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR - · 2m1f196y Hvy 14712/11C?C1 @ Auteuil 06/04/2024 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR - · 2m1f196y Hvy 145C0 @ Auteuil 19/05/2024 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR - · 2m3f85y Ver 14719/05C?C1 @ Auteuil 02/10/2024 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR - · 2m1f196y Hvy 147C1 @ Auteuil 30/10/2024 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR - · 2m3f85y Hvy 15030/10C1C0 @ Auteuil 24/11/2024 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR - · 2m3f85y Hvy 14724/11C?projClass-projected finish: 1st of 8
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2024-11-24Auteuil?1st1st0
2024-10-30Auteuil?1st1st0
2024-10-02Auteuil?1st1st0
2024-05-19Auteuil?2nd2nd0
2024-04-06Auteuil?1st1st0
2024-03-17Auteuil?0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today12/096/0430/1024/11
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 8100% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength98%

Delivery trend -0.5% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 8.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
12/09/20231st7/282%100%+0.18
14/10/20234th13/266%57%-0.09
12/11/20233rd9/153%60%+0.07
06/04/20241st3/184%100%+0.16
19/05/20242nd4/179%91%+0.12
02/10/20241st15/890%100%+0.10
30/10/20241st10/1195%100%+0.05
24/11/20241st4/998%100%+0.02