3
Kolokico
6yo Gelding · 10-12
Auteuil · Prix De L'orleanais Hurdle · 2m 1f 196y
#2
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 2.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-17 | Auteuil | 1 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-03-28 | Auteuil | 1 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-11-16 | Auteuil | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-09-18 | Auteuil | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-05-18 | Auteuil | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-03-30 | Auteuil | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 886% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength62%
Delivery trend -4.0% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/11/2024 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 70% | +0.07 |
| 08/12/2024 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 24/02/2025 | 4th | 6/5 | 94% | 40% | -0.54 |
| 30/03/2025 | 2nd | 17/2 | 55% | 86% | +0.30 |
| 18/05/2025 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 92% | +0.34 |
| 18/09/2025 | 2nd | 15/8 | 90% | 90% | -0.00 |
| 16/11/2025 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 91% | +0.07 |
| 28/03/2026 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 86% | -0.04 |
| 17/05/2026 | 9th | 9/4 | 88% | 38% | -0.50 |