7
Opera Light
4yo Gelding · 10-5
Auteuil · Prix The Fellow - Marquise De Moratalla Chase (Grade 3) · 2m 5f 191y
#3
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 2.5 /10 (raw 2.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C1.1
Today:
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-04 | Compiegne | ? | 3rd | 3rd | −0 |
| 2026-04-21 | Compiegne | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-01 | Compiegne | ? | 1st | 1st | −0 |
| 2026-03-11 | Compiegne | 2 | 1st | 3rd | −1 |
| 2025-06-19 | Dieppe | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-06-04 | Dieppe | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1067% of fieldRange 4-9 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength42%
Delivery trend -2.3% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/06/2025 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 88% | +0.06 |
| 19/06/2025 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 63% | -0.16 |
| 11/03/2026 | 1st | 7/1 | 63% | 100% | +0.37 |
| 01/04/2026 | 1st | 1/1 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 21/04/2026 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 83% | -0.05 |
| 04/05/2026 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 75% | -0.11 |