5
The Robbers
4yo Gelding · 10-5
Auteuil · Prix The Fellow - Marquise De Moratalla Chase (Grade 3) · 2m 5f 191y
#10
Rank
Odds
66/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 4.9)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C1.2
Today:
Class gap: -0.6
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-30 | Auteuil | 1 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-06 | Auteuil | ? | 2nd | 2nd | −0 |
| 2026-04-19 | Auteuil | 1 | 6th | 6th | +0 |
| 2026-03-22 | Auteuil | 3 | 4th | 7th | −2 |
| 2025-12-14 | Pau | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-11-24 | Nantes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 100% of fieldRange 2-10 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength28%
Delivery trend +0.1% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10/2025 | 4th | 22/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |
| 29/10/2025 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 62% | +0.04 |
| 24/11/2025 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 85% | +0.16 |
| 14/12/2025 | 7th | 17/2 | 55% | 14% | -0.41 |
| 22/03/2026 | 4th | 66/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 19/04/2026 | 6th | 66/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 06/05/2026 | 2nd | 25/1 | 0% | 86% | +0.86 |
| 30/05/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 25% | +0.09 |