9
Victrix Du Mesnil
4yo Filly · 10-1
Auteuil · Prix The Fellow - Marquise De Moratalla Chase (Grade 3) · 2m 5f 191y
#4
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.6 /10 (raw 2.4)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C1.1
Today:
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-17 | Auteuil | 1 | 2nd | 2nd | +0 |
| 2026-04-19 | Auteuil | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-02 | Auteuil | 2 | 2nd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-03-07 | Auteuil | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-04-07 | Compiegne | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1089% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +10.8% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/04/2025 | 3rd | 11/1 | 42% | 75% | +0.33 |
| 07/03/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 67% | +0.19 |
| 02/04/2026 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 89% | +0.20 |
| 19/04/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 17/05/2026 | 2nd | 22/1 | 0% | 88% | +0.88 |