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4

Wild Fun

4yo Gelding · 10-5

Auteuil · Prix The Fellow - Marquise De Moratalla Chase (Grade 3) · 2m 5f 191y

#9

Rank

Odds

100/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.

Class-adjusted form 3.9 /10 (raw 3.6)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C1.9
Today:
Class gap: -1.3
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 01/12/2025 · Pos 6th of 13 · OR - · 2m88y Ver 1501/12C?C0 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 15/12/2025 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR - · 2m88y Hvy 14715/12C?C0 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 01/01/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR - · 2m1f87y Ver 1501/01C?3 @ Fontainebleau 21/02/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR - · 2m1f142y Hvy 15621/0232 @ Compiegne 11/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR - · 2m1f32y Ver 14711/0321 @ Auteuil 28/03/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR - · 2m5f191y Hvy 14528/031C0 @ Auteuil 16/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR - · 2m1f87y Sft 14716/05C?projClass-projected finish: 7th of 10
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-05-16Auteuil?2nd2nd0
2026-03-28Auteuil15th5th0
2026-03-11Compiegne22nd4th−1
2026-02-21Fontainebleau32nd5th−2
2026-01-01Cagnes-sur-Mer?6th6th0
2025-12-15Cagnes-sur-Mer?2nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today1/1221/0216/05
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1044% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength65%

Delivery trend +6.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
01/12/20256th11/142%58%+0.16
15/12/20252nd15/261%92%+0.32
01/01/20266th16/116%38%+0.22
21/02/20262nd11/142%88%+0.45
11/03/20262nd40/10%90%+0.90
28/03/20265th40/10%33%+0.33
16/05/20262nd11/142%91%+0.49