5
Megalo De Sivola
4yo Gelding · 10-7
Auteuil · Prix Patrick Lec Hurdle · 2m 1f 196y
#13
Rank
Odds
125/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#13
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 7.8 /10 (raw 7.8)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-10 | Dieppe | 5 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-18 | Dieppe | 4 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2025-09-17 | Moulins | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-08-25 | Moulins | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 138% of fieldRange 11-13 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength8%
Delivery trend -7.5% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 12th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08/2025 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 17/09/2025 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 18/06/2026 | 13th | 50/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 10/07/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |