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Mon Bonheur

4yo Gelding · 11-2

Auteuil · Prix Patrick Lec Hurdle · 2m 1f 196y

#3

Rank

Odds

22/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 3.3)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.4
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Le Lion D'angers 03/08/2025 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR - · 1m3f204y GS 1413/08C53 @ Angers 24/02/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR - · 2m198y Hvy 14724/0234 @ Compiegne 06/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 18 · OR - · 2m1f196y Sft 1526/0443 @ Compiegne 13/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR - · 2m1f196y Hvy 15213/0533 @ Le Lion D'angers 05/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR - · 2m2f86y Sft 1525/0633 @ Saint-Malo 28/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR - · 2m3f85y GS 15428/083projClass-projected finish: 4th of 6
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-28Saint-Malo31st1st0
2026-06-05Le Lion D'angers33rd3rd0
2026-05-13Compiegne34th4th0
2026-04-06Compiegne44th4th0
2026-02-24Angers33rd3rd0
2025-08-03Le Lion D'angers?5th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today3/0824/026/0413/055/0628/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1367% of fieldRange 9-13 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -11.1% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 13. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
03/08/20255th25/10%60%+0.60
24/02/20263rd7/163%75%+0.12
06/04/20264th33/10%82%+0.82
13/05/20264th15/261%57%-0.03
05/06/20263rd11/486%75%-0.11
28/08/20261st5/287%100%+0.13