IvyArcIvyArc
4

Mondialito D'huez

4yo Gelding · 10-7

Auteuil · Prix Patrick Lec Hurdle · 2m 1f 196y

#2

Rank

Odds

5/4

Win Prob

3%

Place Prob

14%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 1.0 /10 (raw 1.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C1.4
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Le Lion D'angers 03/08/2025 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR - · 1m3f204y GS 1413/08C5C1 @ Craon 07/09/2025 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR - · 1m3f204y Hvy 1367/09C1C0 @ Saint-Cloud 09/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR - · 1m4f94y Ver 1369/10C?C0 @ Fontainebleau 22/11/2025 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR - · 1m4f203y Sft 13622/11C?projClass-projected finish: 1st of 6
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2025-11-22Fontainebleau?1st1st0
2025-10-09Saint-Cloud?1st1st0
2025-09-07Craon?1st1st0
2025-08-03Le Lion D'angers?1st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today3/087/099/1022/11
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1392% of fieldRange 2-3 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength89%

Delivery trend -5.3% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 13. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
03/08/20251st7/282%100%+0.18
07/09/20251st7/491%100%+0.09
09/10/20251st5/696%100%+0.04
22/11/20251st4/998%100%+0.02