8

Impressive

8yo Gelding · 10-5 · OR 143

Auteuil · Prix Richard Et Robert Hennessy Chase (Grade 3) · 2m 5f 191y

#4

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength21%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 0 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.7 /10 (raw 2.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.9
Today:
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC1 @ Auteuil 24/09/2022 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 143 · 2m5f191y Sft 145 · below its mark24/09/2022 · OR 143 par24/09C1OR 143C1 @ Auteuil 15/10/2022 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR 143 · 2m5f191y Sft 145 · below its mark15/10/2022 · OR 143 parC0 @ Auteuil 13/11/2022 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR 143 · 2m5f191y Hvy 150 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark13/11/2022 · OR 143 par13/11C?OR 143C0 @ Senonnes-Pouance 02/08/2025 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR - · 2m1f196y GS 147C0 @ Vittel 27/08/2025 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR - · 2m2f195y Sft 15427/08C?C0 @ Compiegne 10/09/2025 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR - · 2m1f196y Sft 154C1 @ Compiegne 02/10/2025 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR 143 · 2m2f195y Hvy 145 · below its mark02/10/2025 · OR 143 par2/10C1OR 1432 @ Auteuil 25/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR 143 · 2m5f191y Hvy 156 · below its mark25/04/2026 · OR 143 par1 @ Auteuil 30/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 143 · 2m5f191y Sft 145 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark30/05/2026 · OR 143 par30/051OR 143projClass-projected finish: 1st of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-05-30Auteuil13rd3rd+0
2026-04-25Auteuil23rd5th1
2025-10-25Compiegne?+0
2025-10-02Compiegne?2nd2nd0
2025-09-10Compiegne?3rd3rd0
2025-08-27Vittel?1st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today24/092/082/1030/05
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1067% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength62%

Delivery trend -2.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 10.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
24/09/20222nd12/137%88%+0.51
15/10/20225th15/261%60%-0.01
13/11/20225th16/116%56%+0.40
02/08/20251st5/287%100%+0.13
27/08/20251st1/499%100%+0.01
10/09/20253rd4/696%67%-0.30
02/10/20252nd12/137%91%+0.54
25/04/20263rd9/276%82%+0.06
30/05/20263rd8/158%78%+0.20