4

In Love

8yo Gelding · 10-5 · OR 134

Auteuil · Prix Richard Et Robert Hennessy Chase (Grade 3) · 2m 5f 191y

#10

Rank

Odds

14/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#10

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength23%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.9 /10 (raw 4.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.4
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC1 @ Auteuil 19/10/2024 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR - · 2m5f191y Hvy 15019/10C1C0 @ Auteuil 17/11/2024 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR - · 3m3f74y Ver 150 · HIGHER CLASSC1 @ Pau 31/12/2024 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR - · 2m7f79y Hvy 15631/12C11 @ Pau 19/01/2025 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR - · 3m2f76y Hvy 152C0 @ Auteuil 18/05/2025 · Pos 7th of 14 · OR - · 3m5f181y Hvy 150 · HIGHER CLASS18/05C?C0 @ Lyon-Parilly 30/10/2025 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR - · 2m2f195y Hvy 147C1 @ Auteuil 07/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR - · 2m5f191y Hvy 1457/03C11 @ Aintree 11/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 13 · OR 134 · 3m210y Goo 157 · below its mark11/04/2026 · OR 134 par1 @ Auteuil 17/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 14 · OR 134 · 3m5f181y Sft 150 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark17/05/2026 · OR 134 par17/051OR 134projClass-projected finish: 7th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-05-17Auteuil15th5th+0
2026-04-11Aintree16th7th0
2026-03-07Auteuil?4th4th0
2025-11-16Auteuil?+0
2025-10-30Lyon-Parilly?3rd3rd0
2025-05-18Auteuil?7th7th+0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today19/1019/017/0317/05
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1011% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength76%

Delivery trend +2.6% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
19/10/20247th40/10%40%+0.40
17/11/20244th33/10%57%+0.57
31/12/20245th4/179%50%-0.29
19/01/20256th9/153%55%+0.02
18/05/20257th66/10%54%+0.54
30/10/20253rd3/184%67%-0.18
07/03/20264th14/126%25%-0.01
11/04/20266th50/10%58%+0.58
17/05/20265th80/10%69%+0.69