Jazz Manouche
7yo Gelding · 10-5 · OR 145
Auteuil · Prix Richard Et Robert Hennessy Chase (Grade 3) · 2m 5f 191y
#7
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 4.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-05-18 | Auteuil | ? | 8th | 8th | +0 |
| 2025-03-30 | Auteuil | ? | 3rd | 3rd | +0 |
| 2025-02-15 | Auteuil | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2024-12-08 | Auteuil | ? | 5th | 5th | +0 |
| 2024-10-19 | Auteuil | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2024-09-28 | Auteuil | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +5.3% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/10/2023 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 57% | +0.31 |
| 02/12/2023 | 1st | 13/2 | 66% | 100% | +0.34 |
| 24/02/2024 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 28/09/2024 | 8th | 17/2 | 55% | 0% | -0.55 |
| 19/10/2024 | 10th | 25/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |
| 08/12/2024 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 15/02/2025 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 86% | +0.38 |
| 30/03/2025 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 18/05/2025 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 46% | +0.46 |