6
Kapaca De Thaix
6yo Gelding · 10-5
Auteuil · Prix Richard Et Robert Hennessy Chase (Grade 3) · 2m 5f 191y
#6
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength22%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.4 /10 (raw 3.4)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C0.5
Today:
Class gap: +0.1
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-17 | Auteuil | 1 | 11th | 11th | +0 |
| 2026-03-28 | Auteuil | 1 | 3rd | 3rd | +0 |
| 2026-02-14 | Auteuil | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-01-18 | Pau | 1 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-12-28 | Pau | ? | 1st | 1st | −0 |
| 2025-12-10 | Pau | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1022% of fieldRange 3-7 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▼
Strength52%
Delivery trend -2.3% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 8th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/09/2025 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 82% | +0.16 |
| 18/09/2025 | 4th | 11/1 | 42% | 63% | +0.20 |
| 25/10/2025 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 10/12/2025 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 28/12/2025 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 18/01/2026 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 86% | -0.04 |
| 14/02/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 60% | -0.16 |
| 28/03/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 71% | +0.19 |
| 17/05/2026 | 11th | 33/1 | 0% | 23% | +0.23 |