7
Kentucky Wood
6yo Gelding · 10-5
Auteuil · Prix Richard Et Robert Hennessy Chase (Grade 3) · 2m 5f 191y
#8
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength23%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 3.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.4
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-30 | Auteuil | 1 | +0 | ||
| 2026-05-17 | Auteuil | 1 | 6th | 6th | +0 |
| 2026-04-25 | Auteuil | 1 | 9th | 9th | +0 |
| 2026-03-07 | Auteuil | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-02-14 | Auteuil | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-12-07 | Auteuil | 1 | 2nd | 2nd | +0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 100% of fieldRange 3-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength24%
Delivery trend -2.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 10th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/05/2025 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 57% | +0.41 |
| 27/09/2025 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 57% | -0.11 |
| 18/10/2025 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 22% | +0.06 |
| 15/11/2025 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 07/12/2025 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 86% | +0.33 |
| 14/02/2026 | 4th | 5/2 | 87% | 40% | -0.47 |
| 07/03/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 75% | -0.07 |
| 25/04/2026 | 9th | 7/1 | 63% | 20% | -0.43 |
| 17/05/2026 | 6th | 50/1 | 0% | 62% | +0.62 |