Sel Jem
9yo Gelding · 11-0 · OR 168
Auteuil · Prix Richard Et Robert Hennessy Chase (Grade 3) · 2m 5f 191y
#2
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
5%
Place Prob
17%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 2.4)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-17 | Auteuil | 1 | 1st | 1st | +0 |
| 2026-04-25 | Auteuil | 1 | 5th | 5th | +0 |
| 2026-04-06 | Compiegne | 3 | 7th | 10th | −2 |
| 2025-11-16 | Auteuil | ? | 4th | 4th | +0 |
| 2025-10-18 | Auteuil | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-09-27 | Auteuil | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +5.1% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/04/2024 | 3rd | 11/8 | 93% | 75% | -0.18 |
| 26/04/2025 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 18/05/2025 | 6th | 6/1 | 68% | 62% | -0.07 |
| 27/09/2025 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 71% | -0.10 |
| 18/10/2025 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 16/11/2025 | 4th | 10/3 | 82% | 73% | -0.10 |
| 06/04/2026 | 7th | 8/1 | 58% | 33% | -0.25 |
| 25/04/2026 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 60% | +0.02 |
| 17/05/2026 | 1st | 14/1 | 26% | 100% | +0.74 |