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Snooker McCrew

5yo Gelding · 9-9 · OR 47

Beverley · Churchill Tyres Apprentice Handicap · 1m 1f 207y

#4

Rank

Odds

10/3

Win Prob

2%

Place Prob

7%

Rank

#4

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Came good at the fourth time of asking for current yard in 1m Kempton apprentice handicap under Alfie Redman last week. Had a bit to spare so a 5-lb penalty shouldn't prevent another bold bid.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength38%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 5.8)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack6 @ Bath 15/05/2024 · Pos 14th of 14 · OR 62 · 1m Gd 137 · below its mark15/05/2024 · OR 62 par15/056OR 625 @ Newbury 25/06/2024 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 60 · 7f GF 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark25/06/2024 · OR 60 par6 @ Chepstow 18/07/2024 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR 58 · 1m2f Goo 133 · below its mark18/07/2024 · OR 58 par18/076OR 586 @ Lingfield 22/08/2024 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 54 · 1m1y Std 124 · beat its mark22/08/2024 · OR 54 par6 @ Lingfield 27/08/2024 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR 54 · 1m1y Std 135 · beat its mark27/08/2024 · OR 54 par27/086OR 546 @ Salisbury 11/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 5 · OR 51 · 6f GF 126 · below its mark11/07/2026 · OR 51 par6 @ Salisbury 21/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 49 · 6f213y Goo 150 · beat its mark21/07/2026 · OR 49 par21/076OR 496 @ Lingfield 18/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 50 · 1m4f Std 135 · beat its mark18/08/2026 · OR 50 par6 @ Kempton 14/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 47 · 1m Sta 127 · beat its mark14/09/2026 · OR 47 par14/096OR 47projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-14Kempton61st1st0
2026-08-18Lingfield66th6th0
2026-07-21Salisbury66th6th0
2026-07-11Salisbury65th5th0
2024-08-27Lingfield67th7th0
2024-08-22Lingfield61st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/0522/0821/0714/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1282% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +4.8% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 12. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/05/202414th9/153%0%-0.53
25/06/20245th33/10%50%+0.50
18/07/20249th9/153%0%-0.53
22/08/20241st12/137%100%+0.63
27/08/20247th11/271%33%-0.38
11/07/20265th28/10%0%0.00
21/07/20266th17/255%44%-0.11
18/08/20266th9/153%44%-0.08
14/09/20261st11/142%100%+0.58