Star Suepreme
3yo Filly · 9-5 · OR 47
Beverley · Churchill Tyres Apprentice Handicap · 1m 1f 207y
#3
Rank
Odds
10/3
Win Prob
14%
Place Prob
20%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 6.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-16 | Beverley | 6 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-18 | Lingfield | 6 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-07-27 | Windsor | 4 | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2026-01-20 | Southwell | 5 | 11th | 10th | +1 |
| 2026-01-06 | Southwell | 5 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +11.1% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/01/2026 | 4th | 50/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 20/01/2026 | 11th | 200/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 27/07/2026 | 5th | 125/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 18/08/2026 | 9th | 80/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 16/09/2026 | 1st | 50/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |