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Arthurian

2yo Colt · 9-7 · OR 96

Beverley · Old Gravel Pits Lodges EBF Novice Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race) · 1m 100y

#1

Rank

Odds

8/13

Win Prob

73%

Place Prob

62%

Rank

#1

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Camelot colt who matched debut form when second in a Haydock maiden (1m) in August and then found a chunk of improvement upped markedly in grade when third of 5 in listed company back over that C&D (soft) 17 days ago. Sets a high standard back in much calmer waters.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength30%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 3.7)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C2.3
Today: 3
Class gap: +0.7
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ Newbury 17/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR - · 7f GF 13017/0733 @ Haydock 07/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR - · 7f212y Goo 1337/0831 @ Haydock 05/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR - · 7f212y Hvy 130 · HIGHER CLASS5/091projClass-projected finish: 1st of 1
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-05Haydock13rd0th+2
2026-08-07Haydock32nd2nd0
2026-07-17Newbury36th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today17/077/085/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 4100% of fieldRange 2-2 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength60%

Delivery trend -11.5% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 4. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
17/07/20266th8/158%55%-0.03
07/08/20262nd6/492%80%-0.12
05/09/20263rd9/276%50%-0.26