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2

Austin

2yo Colt · 9-7

Beverley · Old Gravel Pits Lodges EBF Novice Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race) · 1m 100y

#4

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#4

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Lope De Vega colt from a useful home-bred family who ran as if in need of run for fitness/experience but clearly has ability, catching the eye with his mid-race move before that effort took its toll. Imposing type who looks sure to improve on that initial effort.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 8.0 /10 (raw 8.0)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 3
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ Haydock 03/09/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR - · 7f212y Sft 1283/093
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-03Haydock38th8th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today3/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 40% of fieldRange 6-11 · 50%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength4%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 4. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
03/09/20268th12/137%13%-0.24