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Bayraktar

2yo Colt · 9-7

Beverley · Old Gravel Pits Lodges EBF Novice Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race) · 1m 100y

#2

Rank

Odds

6/4

Win Prob

27%

Place Prob

38%

Rank

#2

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

State of Rest colt who was conspicuously green early but produced a promising first effort nevertheless when second in a class 2 York maiden (7f) 16 days ago, noted doing good late work. Increase in trip looks sure to suit and he's sure to progress (holds a Group 1 entry).

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength10%

What the class read says

Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 1.0 /10 (raw 2.0)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.0
Today: 3
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack2 @ York 06/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR - · 7f GS 133 · HIGHER CLASS6/092
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-06York22nd1st+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today6/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 467% of fieldRange 1-5 · 50%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength98%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 4. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
06/09/20262nd9/276%90%+0.14