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10

Muve On

2yo Gelding · 8-13

Beverley · Christmas Parties R Us Restricted Novice Stakes (GBB Race) · 5f

#8

Rank

Odds

9/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

28/1, promise amidst greenness when fifth of 8 in novice at Redcar (5f, good to firm, 28/1) on debut 7 days ago, not knocked about. Should have more to offer.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength22%

What the class read says

Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 5
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Redcar 15/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR - · 5f Goo 126 · HIGHER CLASS15/094
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-15Redcar45th4th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1358% of fieldRange 3-8 · 50%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength64%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 13. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/09/20265th28/10%43%+0.43