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Star People

2yo Gelding · 9-7 · OR 77

Beverley · Christmas Parties R Us Restricted Novice Stakes (GBB Race) · 5f

#2

Rank

Odds

8/13

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

11%

Rank

#2

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Fairly useful form, finishing runner-up on 4 of his last 5 starts. A prominent showing looks assured back in a maiden.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼1
Strength79%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 3 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 1.7 /10 (raw 3.9)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.2
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack2 @ York 14/05/2026 · Pos 11th of 15 · OR - · 6f Gd 133 · HIGHER CLASS14/0522 @ Chester 30/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR - · 6f17y Gd 133 · HIGHER CLASS30/0524 @ Ayr 20/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 2 · OR - · 6f GF 133 · HIGHER CLASS20/0745 @ Nottingham 03/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 71 · 6f18y Goo 132 · beat its mark03/08/2026 · OR 71 par3/085OR 714 @ Newcastle 20/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 71 · 5f Std 127 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark20/08/2026 · OR 71 par20/084OR 715 @ Ripon 01/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 74 · 5f Sft 134 · beat its mark01/09/2026 · OR 74 par1/095OR 745 @ Musselburgh 12/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 77 · 5f1y Goo 137 · beat its mark12/09/2026 · OR 77 par12/095OR 77projClass-projected finish: 1st of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-12Musselburgh52nd2nd0
2026-09-01Ripon52nd2nd0
2026-08-20Newcastle42nd1st+1
2026-08-03Nottingham53rd3rd0
2026-07-20Ayr42nd1st+1
2026-05-30Chester25th1st+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today14/053/0812/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1392% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength87%

Delivery trend +1.8% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 13.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
14/05/202611th8/158%29%-0.29
30/05/20265th16/116%60%+0.44
20/07/20262nd9/488%0%-0.88
03/08/20263rd4/179%67%-0.12
20/08/20262nd7/491%80%-0.11
01/09/20262nd15/890%80%-0.10
12/09/20262nd2/189%88%-0.02