8

Striking Force

2yo Filly · 9-0

Beverley · Christmas Parties R Us Restricted Novice Stakes (GBB Race) · 5f

#3

Rank

Odds

150/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#3

Timeform

Commentary

Well held in a pair of 6f outings in recent months.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move3
Strength79%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 8.5)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.5
Today: 5
Class gap: +2.5
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack2 @ York 10/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR - · 6f Goo 128 · HIGHER CLASS10/0723 @ Carlisle 27/08/2026 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR - · 5f182y Goo 128 · HIGHER CLASS27/083projClass-projected finish: 4th of 7
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-27Carlisle39th7th+2
2026-07-10York28th4th+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today10/0727/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1383% of fieldRange 4-4 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength77%

Delivery trend +56.8% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 13. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
10/07/20268th12/137%0%-0.37
27/08/20269th50/10%20%+0.20