8

Striking Force
2yo Filly · 9-0
Beverley · Christmas Parties R Us Restricted Novice Stakes (GBB Race) · 5f
#3
Rank
Odds
150/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#3
★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼3
Strength79%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 8.5)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.5
Today: 5
Class gap: +2.5
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-27 | Carlisle | 3 | 9th | 7th | +2 |
| 2026-07-10 | York | 2 | 8th | 4th | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1383% of fieldRange 4-4 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength77%
Delivery trend +56.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 13. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07/2026 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 27/08/2026 | 9th | 50/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |