5

Ain't Nobody

4yo Gelding · 9-5 · OR 99

Beverley · Eddie And Violet Smith Conditions Stakes (GBB Race) · 5f

#6

Rank

Odds

9/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#6

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Seemed to excel himself in first-time headgear when second in last season's Nunthorpe. Hasn't hit the same heights since, including well beaten in the Bullet here 23 days ago. A bounce back is needed.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move2
Strength61%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.

Held its own mid-division in 5 of 6 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 8.9 /10 (raw 8.2)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C0.4
Today: 2
Class gap: +1.6
Higher-class runs: 6
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack1 @ York 22/08/2025 · Pos 2nd of 17 · OR 99 · 5f Goo 139 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark22/08/2025 · OR 99 par22/081OR 991 @ Haydock 06/09/2025 · Pos 13th of 17 · OR 112 · 6f Gd 129 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark06/09/2025 · OR 112 par2 @ Ayr 20/09/2025 · Pos 21st of 25 · OR 99 · 6f Sft 130 · below its mark20/09/2025 · OR 99 par20/092OR 99C0 @ ParisLongchamp 05/10/2025 · Pos 7th of 17 · OR 112 · 4f213y Ver 136 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark05/10/2025 · OR 112 par1 @ Newmarket 02/05/2026 · Pos 14th of 14 · OR 112 · 5f GF 135 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark02/05/2026 · OR 112 par2/051OR 1121 @ York 13/05/2026 · Pos 9th of 13 · OR 109 · 6f Gd 136 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark13/05/2026 · OR 109 par1 @ Royal Ascot 16/06/2026 · Pos 15th of 26 · OR 106 · 5f GF 133 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark16/06/2026 · OR 106 par16/061OR 1061 @ York 21/08/2026 · Pos 13th of 18 · OR 104 · 5f GS 141 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark21/08/2026 · OR 104 par1 @ Beverley 30/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 102 · 5f Hvy 130 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark30/08/2026 · OR 102 par30/081OR 102projClass-projected finish: 5th of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-30Beverley17th6th+1
2026-08-21York113th11th+2
2026-06-16Royal Ascot115th13th+2
2026-05-13York19th7th+2
2026-05-02Newmarket114th12th+1
2025-10-05ParisLongchamp?7th5th+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today22/085/1016/0630/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 60% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength63%

Delivery trend -7.6% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 6. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
22/08/20252nd100/10%94%+0.94
06/09/202513th40/10%25%+0.25
20/09/202521st9/153%17%-0.36
05/10/20257th40/10%63%+0.63
02/05/202614th14/126%0%-0.26
13/05/20269th33/10%33%+0.33
16/06/202615th80/10%44%+0.44
21/08/202613th33/10%29%+0.29
30/08/20267th11/271%14%-0.57