IvyArcIvyArc
1

Badri

9yo Gelding · 10-1 · OR 99

Beverley · Eddie And Violet Smith Conditions Stakes (GBB Race) · 5f

#4

Rank

Odds

9/2

Win Prob

3%

Place Prob

9%

Rank

#4

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Most likeable type who has enjoyed an excellent season, bagging 4 handicaps during the summer. Another cracking effort when third to Jm Jungle in the Bullet here (heavy) in August. The type to bounce back from a rare below-par effort in the Portland but has to give weight to smart rivals.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength26%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 1 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.1 /10 (raw 6.4)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C2.0
Today: 2
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Redcar 25/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR 87 · 5f217y Goo 137 · beat its mark25/05/2026 · OR 87 par25/054OR 872 @ Epsom Downs 06/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 15 · OR 90 · 6f3y Sft 125 · beat its mark06/06/2026 · OR 90 par3 @ Pontefract 21/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 89 · 6f Goo 141 · beat its mark21/06/2026 · OR 89 par21/063OR 892 @ Pontefract 07/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 92 · 6f Goo 130 · beat its mark07/07/2026 · OR 92 par3 @ Pontefract 17/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 92 · 5f3y Goo 142 · beat its mark17/07/2026 · OR 92 par17/073OR 922 @ Windsor 10/08/2026 · Pos 13th of 16 · OR 99 · 6f12y GF 138 · below its mark10/08/2026 · OR 99 par2 @ Pontefract 16/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 99 · 5f3y Goo 140 · beat its mark16/08/2026 · OR 99 par16/082OR 991 @ Beverley 30/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 99 · 5f Hvy 130 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark30/08/2026 · OR 99 par2 @ Doncaster 12/09/2026 · Pos 17th of 21 · OR 99 · 5f143y Gd 134 · below its mark12/09/2026 · OR 99 par12/092OR 99projClass-projected finish: 4th of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-12Doncaster217th17th0
2026-08-30Beverley13rd2nd+1
2026-08-16Pontefract22nd2nd0
2026-08-10Windsor213th13th0
2026-07-17Pontefract31st2nd−1
2026-07-07Pontefract21st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today25/057/0716/0812/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 620% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength72%

Delivery trend -2.3% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 6. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
25/05/20261st16/583%100%+0.17
06/06/20267th33/10%57%+0.57
21/06/20261st9/153%100%+0.47
07/07/20261st5/287%100%+0.13
17/07/20261st15/890%100%+0.10
10/08/202613th8/158%20%-0.38
16/08/20262nd5/287%86%-0.01
30/08/20263rd16/116%71%+0.56
12/09/202617th28/10%20%+0.20