Jakajaro
5yo Gelding · 9-13 · OR 108
Beverley · Eddie And Violet Smith Conditions Stakes (GBB Race) · 5f
#5
Rank
Odds
11/8
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 5.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | Curragh | 1 | 8th | 6th | +2 |
| 2026-07-31 | Goodwood | 1 | 11th | 9th | +2 |
| 2026-07-18 | Curragh | 1 | 3rd | 1st | +2 |
| 2026-06-16 | Royal Ascot | 1 | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2026-05-23 | Haydock | 1 | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2026-05-14 | York | 2 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +2.2% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10/2025 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 56% | -0.21 |
| 14/11/2025 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 45% | -0.02 |
| 14/04/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 14/05/2026 | 1st | 14/1 | 26% | 100% | +0.74 |
| 23/05/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 73% | -0.01 |
| 16/06/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 84% | +0.84 |
| 18/07/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 78% | -0.04 |
| 31/07/2026 | 11th | 9/2 | 76% | 29% | -0.48 |
| 13/09/2026 | 8th | 28/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |