Battenburg Belle
3yo Filly · 9-6 · OR 57
Beverley · John Allinson 90th Birthday Handicap · 5f
#1
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
100%
Place Prob
97%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.3 /10 (raw 4.1)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | Catterick | 6 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-26 | Catterick | 6 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-04 | Catterick | 6 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-26 | Pontefract | 6 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-04 | Beverley | 6 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-22 | Catterick | 6 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +1.4% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/05/2026 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 88% | +0.24 |
| 30/05/2026 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 80% | -0.08 |
| 08/06/2026 | 2nd | 7/4 | 91% | 88% | -0.03 |
| 22/06/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 04/07/2026 | 5th | 3/1 | 84% | 20% | -0.64 |
| 26/07/2026 | 3rd | 17/2 | 55% | 80% | +0.25 |
| 04/08/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 71% | +0.19 |
| 26/08/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 08/09/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |