Black Missile
3yo Gelding · 9-9 · OR 60
Beverley · John Allinson 90th Birthday Handicap · 5f
#6
Rank
Odds
2/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 4.5)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | Leicester | 6 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-12 | Beverley | 5 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-07-17 | Nottingham | 5 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-05-28 | Ripon | 5 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-05-04 | Beverley | 5 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2025-11-26 | Newcastle | 4 | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -2.3% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 5th of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/10/2025 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 67% | +0.40 |
| 31/10/2025 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 50% | -0.21 |
| 26/11/2025 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 25% | -0.54 |
| 04/05/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 69% | +0.43 |
| 28/05/2026 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 60% | -0.03 |
| 17/07/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 67% | +0.19 |
| 12/08/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 44% | +0.08 |
| 08/09/2026 | 6th | 10/3 | 82% | 50% | -0.32 |