5
Dinamo
3yo Filly · 8-13 · OR 50
Beverley · John Allinson 90th Birthday Handicap · 5f
#3
Rank
Odds
150/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#3
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength39%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 5.5)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C5.8
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-06 | Wolverhampton | 6 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-08-27 | Musselburgh | 6 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-08-14 | Beverley | 6 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-07-30 | Leicester | 6 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-07-15 | Thirsk | 5 | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2025-07-09 | Catterick | 6 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 640% of fieldRange 3-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength0%
Delivery trend -0.9% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/05/2025 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 88% | +0.16 |
| 08/06/2025 | 6th | 15/2 | 61% | 29% | -0.32 |
| 13/06/2025 | 7th | 8/1 | 58% | 57% | -0.01 |
| 09/07/2025 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 57% | -0.17 |
| 15/07/2025 | 1st | 18/1 | 5% | 100% | +0.95 |
| 30/07/2025 | 4th | 7/4 | 91% | 50% | -0.41 |
| 14/08/2025 | 9th | 11/2 | 71% | 20% | -0.51 |
| 27/08/2025 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 40% | -0.21 |
| 06/09/2025 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |