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Go Victor

3yo Gelding · 9-6 · OR 57

Beverley · John Allinson 90th Birthday Handicap · 5f

#2

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#2

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Bounced back to form to win at Pontefract (6f) in July and followed it up with a solid third of 8 in handicap at Chepstow (6f, good to firm) next time. Easy to overlook his latest Carlisle run (eased off having been denied a run over 1f out). Not dismissed with cheekpieces now enlisted.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength45%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 2 higher-class runs.

Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 7.4 /10 (raw 7.1)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C5.7
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 2

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Haydock 04/09/2025 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 65 · 6f212y Goo 130 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark04/09/2025 · OR 65 par4/095OR 655 @ Chester 20/09/2025 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR 66 · 7f1y GS 133 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark20/09/2025 · OR 66 par5 @ Haydock 17/10/2025 · Pos 11th of 11 · OR 65 · 6f212y Goo 125 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark17/10/2025 · OR 65 par17/105OR 655 @ Southwell 07/04/2026 · Pos 12th of 12 · OR 64 · 6f16y Std 129 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark07/04/2026 · OR 64 par5 @ Haydock 21/05/2026 · Pos 11th of 12 · OR 62 · 6f212y Sft 128 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark21/05/2026 · OR 62 par21/055OR 626 @ Doncaster 03/07/2026 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR 59 · 6f2y GF 130 · below its mark03/07/2026 · OR 59 par6 @ Pontefract 26/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR 55 · 6f Goo 134 · beat its mark26/07/2026 · OR 55 par26/076OR 556 @ Chepstow 09/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 58 · 6f16y GF 138 · beat its mark09/08/2026 · OR 58 par6 @ Carlisle 09/09/2026 · Pos 11th of 12 · OR 58 · 5f Goo 133 · below its mark09/09/2026 · OR 58 par9/096OR 58projClass-projected finish: 4th of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-09Carlisle611th11th0
2026-08-09Chepstow63rd3rd0
2026-07-26Pontefract61st1st0
2026-07-03Doncaster69th9th0
2026-05-21Haydock511th10th+1
2026-04-07Southwell512th11th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today4/097/0426/079/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 660% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength58%

Delivery trend +0.4% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 6.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
04/09/20252nd22/10%86%+0.86
20/09/20258th9/276%13%-0.64
17/10/202511th25/10%0%0.00
07/04/202612th25/10%0%0.00
21/05/202611th50/10%9%+0.09
03/07/20269th66/10%0%0.00
26/07/20261st28/10%100%+1.00
09/08/20263rd7/491%71%-0.19
09/09/202611th20/10%9%+0.09