Under The Radar
3yo Gelding · 9-9 · OR 60
Beverley · John Allinson 90th Birthday Handicap · 5f
#4
Rank
Odds
15/8
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 5.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-15 | Redcar | 6 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-12 | Beverley | 5 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-07-20 | Ayr | 6 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-16 | Thirsk | 5 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-06-25 | Newcastle | 5 | 9th | 8th | +1 |
| 2026-06-12 | York | 4 | 6th | 4th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -0.8% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09/2025 | 8th | 13/2 | 66% | 30% | -0.36 |
| 23/05/2026 | 5th | 22/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 31/05/2026 | 6th | 22/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |
| 12/06/2026 | 6th | 22/1 | 0% | 58% | +0.58 |
| 25/06/2026 | 9th | 6/1 | 68% | 27% | -0.41 |
| 16/07/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 75% | +0.38 |
| 20/07/2026 | 3rd | 2/1 | 89% | 60% | -0.29 |
| 12/08/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |
| 15/09/2026 | 6th | 6/1 | 68% | 58% | -0.10 |