10
Coolree
7yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 66
Beverley · Fango Handicap (Div 1) · 7f 75y
#5
Rank
Odds
18/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 4.9)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.7
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Beverley | 5 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-07-26 | Pontefract | 5 | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2026-07-20 | Beverley | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-04 | Beverley | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-23 | Beverley | 5 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-06-12 | Chester | 5 | 6th | 7th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1022% of fieldRange 6-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -5.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/05/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 12/05/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 27/05/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 90% | +0.11 |
| 12/06/2026 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 50% | -0.08 |
| 23/06/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 80% | -0.02 |
| 04/07/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 57% | -0.14 |
| 20/07/2026 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 33% | -0.51 |
| 26/07/2026 | 7th | 9/2 | 76% | 0% | -0.76 |
| 29/08/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 78% | +0.51 |