8

Cotai Eye Joe
3yo Gelding · 9-5 · OR 74
Beverley · Fango Handicap (Div 1) · 7f 75y
#7
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength16%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 4.6)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.2
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-20 | Doncaster | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-23 | York | 4 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-04-27 | Wolverhampton | 5 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-03-12 | Newcastle | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-02-16 | Wolverhampton | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1056% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +21.7% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/02/2026 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 50% | -0.11 |
| 12/03/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 75% | -0.04 |
| 27/04/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 23/05/2026 | 12th | 50/1 | 0% | 42% | +0.42 |
| 20/06/2026 | 4th | 22/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |