8

Cotai Eye Joe

3yo Gelding · 9-5 · OR 74

Beverley · Fango Handicap (Div 1) · 7f 75y

#7

Rank

Odds

16/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Took a step forward when opening his account in 11-runner maiden at Wolverhampton (7f) in April. Better effort in handicaps since when fourth of 13 over 7f at Doncaster (good to firm) in June. Claims if fully primed after 3 months off (has had a breathing operation).

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength16%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 4.6)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.2
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Wolverhampton 16/02/2026 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR - · 6f20y Std 12716/0244 @ Newcastle 12/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR - · 7f14y Std 12612/0345 @ Wolverhampton 27/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR - · 7f36y Std 12927/0454 @ York 23/05/2026 · Pos 12th of 20 · OR 76 · 7f Goo 131 · beat its mark23/05/2026 · OR 76 par23/054OR 764 @ Doncaster 20/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 13 · OR 75 · 7f6y GF 130 · beat its mark20/06/2026 · OR 75 par20/064OR 75projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-20Doncaster44th4th0
2026-05-23York412th12th0
2026-04-27Wolverhampton51st2nd1
2026-03-12Newcastle43rd3rd0
2026-02-16Wolverhampton43rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today16/0212/0327/0423/0520/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1056% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%

Delivery trend +21.7% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
16/02/20263rd15/261%50%-0.11
12/03/20263rd4/179%75%-0.04
27/04/20261st9/276%100%+0.24
23/05/202612th50/10%42%+0.42
20/06/20264th22/10%75%+0.75