4
Mr King
6yo Gelding · 9-11 · OR 77
Beverley · Fango Handicap (Div 1) · 7f 75y
#8
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength38%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 6.5)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.8
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Redcar | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-24 | York | 4 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-16 | Thirsk | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-30 | Carlisle | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-07 | Redcar | 3 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2025-10-11 | York | 4 | 16th | 16th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1033% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength50%
Delivery trend +1.5% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07/2025 | 12th | 18/1 | 5% | 21% | +0.16 |
| 26/07/2025 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 89% | +0.20 |
| 10/08/2025 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 30% | -0.17 |
| 11/10/2025 | 16th | 33/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 07/05/2026 | 6th | 18/1 | 5% | 38% | +0.32 |
| 30/05/2026 | 7th | 13/2 | 66% | 33% | -0.32 |
| 16/06/2026 | 1st | 16/1 | 16% | 100% | +0.84 |
| 24/07/2026 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 59% | +0.59 |
| 22/08/2026 | 5th | 3/1 | 84% | 56% | -0.29 |