Vixey
6yo Mare · 9-11 · OR 77
Beverley · Fango Handicap (Div 1) · 7f 75y
#3
Rank
Odds
15/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.1 /10 (raw 4.1)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Chester | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-22 | Chester | 2 | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2026-08-07 | Musselburgh | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-28 | Goodwood | 3 | 12th | 11th | +1 |
| 2026-07-11 | Chester | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-24 | Carlisle | 4 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +1.0% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10/2025 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 90% | +0.43 |
| 01/11/2025 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 71% | -0.13 |
| 26/11/2025 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 33% | +0.07 |
| 24/06/2026 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 46% | +0.46 |
| 11/07/2026 | 2nd | 17/2 | 55% | 88% | +0.32 |
| 28/07/2026 | 12th | 33/1 | 0% | 15% | +0.15 |
| 07/08/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 80% | +0.64 |
| 22/08/2026 | 5th | 18/1 | 5% | 67% | +0.61 |
| 12/09/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 57% | -0.19 |