9
Folkene
4yo Filly · 9-1 · OR 67
Beverley · Fango Handicap (Div 2) · 7f 75y
#9
Rank
Odds
13/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength23%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.6 /10 (raw 5.4)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.7
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | Thirsk | 5 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-09-04 | Haydock | 5 | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2026-08-17 | Catterick | 5 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-06-04 | Wetherby | 5 | 10th | 11th | −1 |
| 2026-04-26 | Wetherby | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-03-29 | Doncaster | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 925% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength69%
Delivery trend -1.1% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 7th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/09/2025 | 10th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 23/09/2025 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 22/10/2025 | 7th | 11/1 | 42% | 14% | -0.28 |
| 29/03/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 26/04/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 57% | +0.20 |
| 04/06/2026 | 10th | 13/2 | 66% | 0% | -0.66 |
| 17/08/2026 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |
| 04/09/2026 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 33% | -0.19 |
| 14/09/2026 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 73% | +0.10 |