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8

Light Speed

6yo Gelding · 9-6 · OR 72

Beverley · Fango Handicap (Div 2) · 7f 75y

#6

Rank

Odds

22/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Course winner. Respectable fourth of 6 in handicap at Newcastle (1¼m) in December (final start for Gemma Tutty). The betting perhaps the best guide to expectations on return for new stable.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength36%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 5.9)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.2
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Pontefract 18/07/2025 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 75 · 1m6y Goo 132 · below its mark18/07/2025 · OR 75 par18/074OR 754 @ Chester 03/08/2025 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 72 · 1m2f70y Goo 133 · beat its mark03/08/2025 · OR 72 par4 @ Beverley 24/08/2025 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 72 · 1m1f207y Goo 129 · beat its mark24/08/2025 · OR 72 par24/084OR 723 @ Chester 13/09/2025 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 75 · 1m2f70y GS 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark13/09/2025 · OR 75 par4 @ Newcastle 28/09/2025 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR 75 · 1m2f42y Std 125 · beat its mark28/09/2025 · OR 75 par28/094OR 754 @ Southwell 23/10/2025 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR 74 · 1m3f23y Std 129 · beat its mark23/10/2025 · OR 74 par5 @ Newcastle 22/11/2025 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR 74 · 1m2f42y Std 139 · below its mark22/11/2025 · OR 74 par22/115OR 745 @ Newcastle 13/12/2025 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR 73 · 1m2f42y Std 138 · below its mark13/12/2025 · OR 73 par4 @ Newcastle 19/12/2025 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 73 · 1m2f42y Std 133 · beat its mark19/12/2025 · OR 73 par19/124OR 73projClass-projected finish: 7th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2025-12-19Newcastle44th4th0
2025-12-13Newcastle59th10th−1
2025-11-22Newcastle58th9th−1
2025-10-23Southwell43rd3rd0
2025-09-28Newcastle45th5th0
2025-09-13Chester36th5th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today18/0713/0922/1119/12
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 913% of fieldRange 8-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -4.5% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
18/07/20258th17/255%0%-0.55
03/08/20252nd9/276%86%+0.09
24/08/20251st7/163%100%+0.37
13/09/20256th8/158%44%-0.13
28/09/20255th14/126%60%+0.34
23/10/20253rd9/153%82%+0.29
22/11/20258th11/486%30%-0.56
13/12/20259th5/174%27%-0.46
19/12/20254th11/486%40%-0.46