7
Nursia
3yo Gelding · 9-7 · OR 76
Beverley · Fango Handicap (Div 2) · 7f 75y
#7
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.1 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.3
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | York | 4 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-11 | Catterick | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-01-24 | Newcastle | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-07-14 | Ayr | 5 | 5th | 6th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 938% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength68%
Delivery trend +28.9% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07/2025 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 0% | -0.79 |
| 24/01/2026 | 1st | 13/8 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 11/06/2026 | 5th | 7/4 | 91% | 43% | -0.48 |
| 24/07/2026 | 8th | 28/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |