
Star Material
3yo Gelding · 9-11 · OR 80
Beverley · Fango Handicap (Div 2) · 7f 75y
#8
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.6 /10 (raw 7.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 | Newcastle | 4 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-07-29 | Redcar | 4 | 0 | ||
| 2026-07-03 | Chepstow | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-06 | Chester | 3 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-04-18 | Thirsk | 3 | 9th | 8th | +1 |
| 2025-10-11 | York | 1 | 11th | 7th | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -1.0% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/04/2025 | 2nd | 1/1 | 95% | 83% | -0.11 |
| 04/06/2025 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 19/06/2025 | 15th | 66/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 19/09/2025 | 2nd | 25/1 | 0% | 88% | +0.88 |
| 11/10/2025 | 11th | 20/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 18/04/2026 | 9th | 18/1 | 5% | 38% | +0.33 |
| 06/05/2026 | 8th | 11/1 | 42% | 36% | -0.06 |
| 03/07/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 71% | +0.19 |
| 20/08/2026 | 13th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |