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Amber Hamur

3yo Filly · 9-9 · OR 65

Beverley · End Of Season Handicap · 1m 100y

#1

Rank

Odds

10/3

Win Prob

87%

Place Prob

70%

Rank

#1

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Much improved following switch to Ed Bethell, landing back-to-back 1m handicaps at Hamilton/Ripon in recent months. Ran another solid race on back of further 5 lb rise when third behind Dalamara at Musselburgh (9f) 4 weeks ago and ought to be very competitive again.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength32%

What the class read says

Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 3.4)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Southwell 16/10/2025 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR - · 7f14y Std 128 · HIGHER CLASS16/1054 @ Kempton 05/11/2025 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR - · 7f Sta 128 · HIGHER CLASS4 @ Lingfield 20/11/2025 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR - · 7f1y Std 128 · HIGHER CLASS20/1146 @ Kempton 30/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 60 · 7f Sta 135 · beat its mark30/03/2026 · OR 60 par6 @ Wolverhampton 05/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 58 · 7f36y Std 133 · beat its mark05/05/2026 · OR 58 par5/056OR 586 @ Beverley 03/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 56 · 1m100y Goo 132 · beat its mark03/07/2026 · OR 56 par6 @ Hamilton 11/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 57 · 1m68y Goo 128 · beat its mark11/07/2026 · OR 57 par11/076OR 576 @ Ripon 03/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 60 · 1m Goo 130 · beat its mark03/08/2026 · OR 60 par6 @ Musselburgh 25/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 65 · 1m208y Gd 135 · beat its mark25/08/2026 · OR 65 par25/086OR 65projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-25Musselburgh63rd3rd0
2026-08-03Ripon61st1st0
2026-07-11Hamilton61st1st0
2026-07-03Beverley62nd2nd0
2026-05-05Wolverhampton66th6th0
2026-03-30Kempton64th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today16/1030/0311/0725/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1089% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength61%

Delivery trend -6.2% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 2nd of 10. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
16/10/20254th40/10%25%+0.25
05/11/20255th22/10%50%+0.50
20/11/20255th80/10%56%+0.56
30/03/20264th7/282%50%-0.32
05/05/20266th10/382%44%-0.38
03/07/20262nd3/184%83%-0.01
11/07/20261st6/492%100%+0.08
03/08/20261st2/189%100%+0.11
25/08/20263rd6/594%71%-0.22